NOAA predicts relatively warm, dry winter in Southeast

NOAA Winter Outlook 2017-2018

The National Weather Service said there's a 55- to 65-percent chance La Nina will develop before the winter comes.

Warmer than average temperatures are slightly more likely this winter in New England, federal forecasters said Thursday.

A better-than-average chance of below-normal temperatures is forecast for Minnesota, particularly from January into February.

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center will release an updated seasonal forecast throughout the winter. The 2015-2016 winter was record warm, about 4.55 degrees hotter than normal. He added that, "Basically the effect of a larger scale climate pattern that's moving through because of La NiƱa doesn't really have an effect on what we might see from lake effect".

The areas that fall into the unmarked sections of these maps have an equal chance of above-, near-, or higher-than-normal temperatures and precipitation levels, the NOAA says.

Northwest Alaska may be wetter than usual, while Hawaii has about 40% odds of being drier than usual.

The temperature outlook for winter is trending on the warm side for the south.

The weather is always tough to predict in the U.P., especially in the winter.

Private forecasting firm Accuweather agrees that a La Nina pattern is likely to emerge with the start of winter.

Drier-than-normal conditions are most likely across the entire southern United States. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North American Oscillation (NAO), for example, can send a southward surge of arctic air that puts the U.S.in a deep freeze for weeks at a time... but can only be forecast reliably a few weeks in advance.

"Our models are kind of waffling in that area", Halpert said.

The winter outlook is expected to be updated on November 16.

Related news:

Hot News

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Eight injured in Munich knife rampage
Oct 22, 2017 - 01:12
According to police, the suspect was captured travelling by bicycle a few kilometres south of where the attacks took place. Police had earlier said they believe the man, who attacked people at several different locations, acted alone.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Trump launches petition to stand for national anthem
Oct 22, 2017 - 00:58
The petition is just the latest move by Trump and his administration aimed at the National Football League protests. And it's also for us to honor our flag and our country, and we think our fans expect us to do that.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Orionid meteor shower peaks this week
Oct 21, 2017 - 00:43
To get the best view of the meteor shower leave the city and head for the French countryside away from artificial lights. To watch, look toward the constellation Orion, which rises in the east around 11 p.m.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Phil Jones expected to be fit for Manchester United's clash with Huddersfield
Oct 21, 2017 - 00:40
But the United manager has now revealed the 36-year-old could return to action earlier. Mourinho has said in the past Ibrahimovic would not be back until the New Year.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top White Supremacist Rally Attendees Arrested After Shooting at Protesters
Oct 21, 2017 - 00:38
William and Colton Fears are being held on $1 million bond, Tenbrink's bond has been set to $3 million. Police stopped the trio on Interstate 75, where Tenbrink told them he fired the shot, officials said.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top 46% of voters think the media concocts fake Trump stories, poll says
Oct 20, 2017 - 00:45
A new report by Politico states that almost half of the American people believe Twitter fabricates stories about President Trump. Recent comments on the subject include his Tuesday tweet , "So much Fake News being put in dying magazines and newspapers".

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Trump cites chief-of-staff Kelly's dead son to attack Obama
Oct 18, 2017 - 00:42
Another noted that Obama had written thousands of letters and made hundreds of calls to Gold Star families. David Axelrod, a senior adviser to Obama, said, "I don't recall anything moving him more ".

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Huawei Mate 10 Lite Smartphone Gets Official
Oct 18, 2017 - 00:42
Huawei: Launched Mate 10, Mate 10 Pro & Mate 10 Porsche Design! However, some differences are worth pointing out. In that news article, we also mentioned about the Mate 10 Pro and Mate 10 Porsche Design rumours.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Doom on Switch gets a confirmed release date for November
Oct 17, 2017 - 00:46
Much of that analysis discussed how many options Doom offered PC players in scaling the game to their specifications. Those other versions also target 60 frames per-second for gameplay, versus the Switch's 30 FPS.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top United States to continue diplomatic efforts with North Korea
Oct 16, 2017 - 01:09
Tillerson's comments come after reports indicated that Trump's July 20 meeting at the Pentagon was a "difficult and tense" session.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top 'Game of Thrones' star Sophie Turner engaged to Joe Jonas
Oct 16, 2017 - 01:02
The young actress is well known for her role as Sansa Stark in Game of Thrones , which she was first cast in when she was 13. The relationship was confirmed in December 2016 when a source told People , "They're dating exclusively".

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Eminem blasts Trump freestyle, and Trump doesn't tweet back
Oct 15, 2017 - 01:09
After playing the clip in which Trump called the rapper "a victor ", Kimmel added, "Not anymore, I guess". At the end of his rap, he insisted his fans should quit supporting the president.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Samsung CEO steps down amid 'unprecedented crisis'
Oct 15, 2017 - 01:04
Samsung CEO Kwon Oh-hyun has announced his resignation from management and will be formally stepping down in March 2018. At the time of writing this report, it was not clear who would be taking over from Kwon Oh-hyun as CEO.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Nadal overcomes Dimitrov to make Shanghai Masters semi
Oct 14, 2017 - 00:47
Rafael Nadal has tied Andre Agassi for sixth place on the list of Open Era wins by reaching the Shanghai Masters semi-finals. Del Potro ended up breaking Troicki's serve in that fifth game and prevailed 4-6, 6-1, 6-4.

isis-killer-beheading-video-story-top Amazon announces independent teen accounts (with parental oversight)
Oct 14, 2017 - 00:45
Reflecting how kids use the internet these days, the new shopping system only works through the Amazon mobile app. Amazon will allow parents to scrap the approval setup in favor of setting spending limits, too, the company says.