Republicans hold on to Arizona House seat

Arizona election is another Republican test in Trump country

In a special House election on Tuesday, Debbie Lesko, a Republican, won the conservative Arizona district, but was ahead by less than six points as of 12:00 a.m.

"We'd really like a change", he said.

The Democratic Party hoped to continue a streak of surprising special election wins, which had been present in places like Alabama, Pennsylvania and other Republican strongholds, but were not able to do so in Arizona. Tipirneni - or anyone else - can try to unseat her in November.

The Republican National Committee, National Republican Campaign Committee and the Congressional Leadership Fund have collectively spent almost $1m to defend the reliably conservative seat.

Multiple forces are behind the swing: Republican voters appear demoralized while Democrats are fired up, and some voters who typically lean Republican have been shifting away from the party. With the early vote - an estimated 75-80 percent of the total vote - counted, it looks like Republican Debbie Lasko defeated Democrat Hiral Tipirneni in the very red 8th District of Arizona.

Democratic groups have spent far less on the Arizona race. They touted the fact that Tipirneni kept it close in a district where Democrats didn't even put up a candidate in 2014 and 2016, and they argued the slim margin shows their message is resonating in the era of Trump.

Last month Democrat Conor Lamb won a stunning upset over his Republican rival in southwestern Pennsylvania, where another congressman quit amid a sex scandal - and where Trump campaigned twice in a failed effort to keep the congressional seat in Republican hands.

National Republican groups spent big to back Lesko, pouring in more than $500,000 for television and mail ads and phone calls to voters to ensure her victory.

Tipirneni raised $664,920 during the race, over $100,000 more than Lesko's $539,403. Add Republican Party as an interest to stay up to date on the latest Republican Party news, video, and analysis from ABC News.

Castellanos was not the only one to think that a narrow vote margin could mean good news for Democrats in Arizona: FiveThirtyEight, a statistical analysis website, said an overperformance by Tipirneni of eight-plus points would "bode well for Democrats' chances to flip Sen". Forecasters suggestedanything short of a double-digit Lasko win would be "in line with past special-election results that have pointed to a Democratic wave" in November.

Early voting numbers reflected a much older electorate and a GOP advantage, but polling in the final weeks of the race was all over the map.

"Nancy Pelosi wants to send a liberal Democrat to Congress to represent you". Lesko is accused of violating Federal Election Commission rules by steering money to an outside group boosting her race, and Tipireni faces accusations that she stopped practicing medicine over a malpractice lawsuit. "We can't have that", Trump says in the call, a recording of which was obtained by CNN, that went out to voters on April 6.

On Tuesday, Trump tweeted his support of Lesko. Trump made a last-minute appeal on Tuesday, urging voters to support Lesko, who he was "Strong on Border, Immigration and Crime".

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